Horse Racing Tips: Doing a Proficient Horse Racing Form Part 2 ...

In the last articles, you read and identified the four factors that contribute in successfully assessing the form to compile horse racing tips and racing which include the following:

• Crating a race profile
• Creating a speed map
• Identifying suitability to tack, distance and conditions as well as identifying why a horse cannot win
• Lastly starting from the bottom up

As promised here are the other factors you should consider.

1.Read Stewards Reports

There are about less than 1% of punters who take time to read these reports and that would be overstating it. It is fairly understandable that ?recreational? punters do not have the time to watch replays each week however a good shortcut or ?cheat sheet? comes in the form of Stewards reports. While it is true that stewards reports do not necessarily identify poor rides or pace related failures and the likes, however, they do cover interference and indiscretions and it takes very little effort to find them and even less to absorb them.

To give you a clearer picture, listed below are three winners and the stewards comments in regards to their previous race.

Scottish Border: Randwick 10/7/2010
Hampered badly on jumping then bumped on the Hindquarter after passing the 200m was then forced to race tightly on the inside of heels for some considerable distance.

Princess Natural: Canterbury 2/6/2010
Badly crowded on jumping then approaching the 600m was steadied when crowded for room.

Kimberley Kid: Warwick Farm 14/7/2010
After being held up was steadied when crowded passing the 200m. After this incident was unable to obtain clear running and was not fully tested.

All of these horses were undervalued by the market. Thus, it can only be assumed that few punters or bookmakers did their video replay homework or they fail to read the Stewards reports or both!

2. Identifying Improvers

Whether you believe it or not, proven horses do not and cannot improve their rating by 6 lengths in 2 weeks. There are always reasons for previous poor performances and why a horse failed to run to its full capability. As a form student you have to predict the improvement before it occurs and not who looks at the form after the race. For the most part there will be an occurrence or a series of occurrences over time that has caused a horse to underrate. The big improvers and long priced winners come from the latter. Here are a few things to look for:

Barriers

The barrier has significant effect on performance but more than ever the sprint distances. There is a misconception that wide barriers have the same detrimental effect on all horses but that is certainly not the case. The horses most affected are the ?just off pace? horses, ie. not the superquick leaders.

Class

Under the new Benchmark system horses can drop back in class. Under the class system, say a horse win 3 races. That horse is compelled to race in Class 3 or higher for the rest of its career. The problem is many horses reach a level where they were no longer competitive.

So the Benchmark system came into play and this system enable more adaptability and to a lesser degree ?rorts?. One of the best parts of this system is that horses, who fail in higher Benchmark events, can (over time) have their Benchmark reduced incrementally and therefore drop back significantly in class. Look for them. Significant grade or class drops mean horses will not only compete better but generally will have no problem altering their racing patterns. These are the improvers you need to find before the race as you cannot make money after the race is over!

Track Conditions

There are horses that simply cannot compete in slow or heavy tracks. Generally trainers will not let their horses compete but have no choice but to run their horses to get it fit. The lead up runs particularly on unsuitable track conditions and often short of a horse? ideal distance range, are well hidden. Meanwhile, the same horse can appear on a good track over a more suitable distance and wins.

To know more about horse racing tips and how to bet with an edge, call Champion Picks at 1300 500 057 or visit http://www.championpicks.com.au/

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